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Tag:Iowa State
Posted on: November 7, 2010 10:57 am
 

Saturday Thoughts, 11/6: Blowout Saturday

1.    TCU Thumps Utah, Best Win by a Non-AQ to Date 

I honestly thought that Utah would come out and give TCU a game Saturday afternoon.  It had been over two years since a team came to Salt Lake City and walked away with a win.  The Utes were a top five team that seemed to have proven themselves while climbing the rankings all year.  TCU proved that it is on a completely different level than Utah (and even Boise) by rolling Utah 47-7. 

Remember that it was a blowout win, on the road, against a top five team.  There are no wins on Boise State’s schedule that can even come close to this.  TCU already had a lead in the computers; this win will only increase their lead over the Broncos.  Now that Alabama has lost a second game, I will be interested in seeing if a one-loss Big XII, Big Ten, Pac-10, or SEC team will jump ahead of an undefeated TCU should Auburn or Oregon fall.  

 

2.    There Will be a New National Champion  

Les Miles and the LSU Tigers ended Alabama’s hopes of a national championship Saturday in one of the few big games of this weekend that didn’t end in a blowout.  As has become expected over the last few years (and weeks for that matter), LSU’s hopes relied on a stingy defense and some miracle payoffs on big Les Miles gambles.  The LSU win in Death Valley was an oddity in this series that has been dominated by the visiting team in recent years. 

Heading in to this weekend’s action, the general consensus was that if Alabama were to win out, they would have an SOS good enough to push them past TCU and Boise State.  It will be interesting to see which team becomes the new favorite of the anti-Boise/TCU crowd now that its favorite has fallen.  

 

3.    Stanford Runs it up on Arizona  

If there were any doubt as to the Pac-10’s second-best team, Stanford put that debate to bed with its win Saturday on national TV.  Andrew Luck padded his Heisman resume with nearly 300 yards through the air and two TDs.  Stanford's RB by committee put up over 200 yards rushing for the Cardinal offense.  Stanford’s big win raises the question: can anyone out west play defense? 

Mike Stoops is considered by many to be one of the best up and coming defensive minds in the college game, and Arizona was believed to be the Pac-10’s premiere defense.  It was the Arizona defense that led me to believe that they had the best chance of knocking off Oregon.  After giving up 42 points and 500 yards of offense against Stanford, I’m beginning to balk at that statement.  If the Arizona defense won’t be good enough to stop the Ducks, will any defense?  

 

4.    Joe Paterno wins 400th Game, an Accomplishment that May Never be Repeated  

With Penn State’s 35-21 win over Northwestern in Happy Valley, Joe Paterno became the first head coach in major college football to pick up 400 career victories.  He trails only John Gagliardi (St. John’s Minnesota, DIII) and Eddie Robinson (Grambling State, DI-AA) in total victories.  Fittingly, PSU’s comeback from 21 down matches the best comeback in JoePa’s distinguished coaching career.  Given the current state of college football and its coaching carousel, I highly doubt anyone else will ever come close to 400.  

 

5.    Iowa and Wisconsin Get Wake-Up Calls in Indiana  

Big Ten leaders Iowa and Wisconsin both had more trouble than expected while visiting the Hoosier State.  Wisconsin was manhandled in the first half by the Purdue Boilermakers and went to the locker room lucky to only be trailing 10-6.  Had it not been for several Purdue mistakes and a few questionable calls, the lead could have been much larger.  The Badgers woke up in the second half with Sophomore Montee Ball leading the team on four touchdown drives. 

The Iowa Hawkeyes suffered an even bigger scare in Bloomington.  They went to the half tied at six and spent most of the second half playing catch-up with the Hoosiers.  IU held the lead until late in the 4th-quarter when Ricky Stanzi hit Marvin McNutt on a long pass play to grab the lead.  A dropped fourth down pass in the end zone sealed Indiana’s fate.  Iowa will have to remain focused as it travels to Northwestern next weekend.  In last season’s game, the Hawkeyes were caught looking forward to their game against Ohio State.  

 

6.    Big Win, A&M’s Upset Leaves Oklahoma State in Driver’s Seat  

We entered this weekend with three teams in contention for the Big XII South.  After today’s action, the Oklahoma State Cowboys control their own destiny.  Brandon Weedon (QB), Kendall Hunter (RB), and Justin Blackmon (WR) looked like the Dallas Cowboy’s triplets in the Poke’s 55-28 wood shedding of Baylor.  With games left against TAMU and Oklahoma, it appears that Baylor’s miracle run may be nearing its end.  There is hope for the future though, as Robert Griffin is only a Sophomore. 

Meanwhile, in College Station the Oklahoma Sooners found themselves upset by the Texas A&M Aggies.  For the second time this season, Oklahoma was outplayed in every aspect of the game.  With the win, the Aggies have entered themselves in the conversation for the Big XII South title.  Win out, and with a Sooner victory in Stillwater, the Aggies will end the season in a three-way tie atop their division.  


7.    Nebraska has Stranglehold on Big XII North 

The Iowa State Cyclones gave Nebraska all it could handle Saturday afternoon in Ames.  It took a failed fake-PAT in overtime to finally put the Cyclones away.  Nebraska’s offense played quite well in the absence off all-world freshman QB Taylor Martinez.  The Huskers will have to lose twice to miss the Big XII Championship Game.  It appears they will have no trouble locking up their division, and should be the favorites in Dallas. 

Later that night in Lubbock, Texas Tech helped Nebraska extend their divisional lead with a home win over Missouri.  Mizzou is now a game back and loses the head to head tiebreaker with Nebraska.  More importantly, Tommy Tuberville has a season-defining win for the first year of his tenure in Lubbock.  The homecoming win against a top-12 team should buy the River Boat Gambler some time to install his system, which is a complete departure from what Red Raider fans are used to under Mike Leach.  

 

8.    Does Anybody want to Win the ACC Atlantic?  

Saturday began with three one-loss teams sitting at the top of the ACC Atlantic Division (NC State, Maryland, and Florida State).  The Wolfpack had the inside track given their win over Florida State last Thursday.  When they went down in the final minutes at Clemson, Maryland and FSU were left with a great chance to grab the brass ring.  Both failed…miserably. 

The Terps had a 17-15 halftime lead at Miami and held a 20-18 advantage with three minutes remaining.  However, true freshman QB Stephen Morris led an 82-yard drive in the final minutes to give the ‘Canes a season saving victory.  Meanwhile, upstate in Tallahassee, Florida State fell to North Carolina 37-35 on a last second missed field goal (wide right)…welcome to FSU Jimbo Fisher, you should probably get used to this.  

 

9.    Arkansas Pounds South Carolina  

Every week I swear that I’m not going to rag on the SEC East, but every week I’m given a new reason to do so.  The Arkansas Razorbacks marched in to Columbia and laid a 41-20 beatdown on Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks.  After the embarrassing home loss, USC needs to recover for the division “championship game” next weekend in Gainesville.  Neither team deserves to be ranked, nor do they deserve to play for the SEC title in Atlanta, but those are the rules.  The winner of the game will likely play Auburn regardless of the result in the Iron Bowl.  Considering how crazy this year has been, the east champ will likely win in Atlanta and cost Auburn a chance at the National Championship.  

 

10.    Will Texas get Bowl Eligible?  

At the beginning of the season, one thing seemed pretty clear: the Texas/Oklahoma winner would likely represent the South in the Big XII Championship Game.  Now, we find ourselves with Oklahoma State in the driver’s seat in the division and the Longhorns needing to win two of three to get bowl eligible.  The Horns have lost home games to UCLA, Iowa State, and Baylor already.  Three home games remain against Oklahoma State, Florida Atlantic, and Texas A&M.  A loss next Saturday doesn’t end their hopes, but it leaves them with an even tougher uphill climb in the Lone Star Showdown.  Given UT’s play (especially on defense), I wonder if Will Muschamp’s coach-in-waiting designation may be in jeopardy.  

 

My Top Ten (Last Week)  

1.    Oregon (1)

2.    Auburn (2)

3.    TCU (4)

4.    Boise State (3)

5.    Wisconsin (8)

6.    Stanford (9)

7.    Nebraska (8)

8.    Ohio State (10)

9.    LSU (N/R)

10.    Oklahoma State (N/R) 

The Next Five: Alabama, Utah, Iowa, Michigan State, Arkansas


Posted on: October 24, 2010 12:11 pm
 

Saturday Thoughts, 10/23: #1 Falls Again

Ten thoughts on this weekend's action and my updated top-10 list.

 

1.    Number One Falls on the Road  Where have I heard this before?

Another week, another number one gets picked off away from home.  Missouri came in better prepared than Oklahoma and beat the Sooners in every aspect of the game.  This season is beginning to look very similar to 2007.  No team is safe, and I’m pretty confident that we haven’t seen the last of these upsets.  Oregon (AP #1) still has three very losable games left on their schedule.  Playing in the SEC West leaves Auburn (BCS #1) vulnerable every week.  Michigan State and Missouri face huge road challenges next week (Iowa and Nebraska respectively).  It is becoming more likely that pollsters will have to eventually decide if a one-loss power conference team is more worthy than an undefeated TCU, Boise, or Utah.

 

2.    Auburn Looking Like the Nation’s Best, Newton IS Nation’s Best

Every week I have a new concern regarding the Auburn Tigers and their bid for an SEC/National Championship.  This week, Cameron Newton torched the SEC’s best defense for 200+ rushing yards while leading Auburn to a 24-17 victory over LSU on the Plains.  Newton is clearly the favorite for the Heisman Trophy, as he should be.  Auburn should win their next two before hosting a Georgia Bulldog team that suddenly looks like a contender in the SEC East.

I really like this Tiger team, but I feel the same way about them as I do Oregon.  Both have painfully obvious weaknesses and have yet to face a team with the personnel to exploit them.  In the case of the Tigers, a team with a strong front seven and solid passing game should have a good chance against them.  Both Georgia and Alabama fit that description.  Also, South Carolina came close at Auburn last month; there is no reason to believe they would have an even better chance on a neutral field in Atlanta.  Don’t get me wrong; I think Auburn has an outstanding chance of running the table, I just think there are several teams left on their schedule who could give the Tigers a run for their money.

 

3.    Michigan State Survives Close Call in Evanston

Northwestern nearly spoiled Mark D’Antonio’s return to the MSU sideline.  The Wildcats jumped out to a 17-0 first half lead that they held until the middle of the fourth quarter.  Kirk Cousins showed the poise of an upperclassman as he led the Spartan offense to 28 second half points and a come from behind victory in their first game outside of Michigan.  This season’s team is beginning to remind me of the 2002 Ohio State team (for which D’Antonio served as defensive coordinator).  Their games aren’t going to be particularly pretty, but you get the feeling that they will always find a way to get the win.  Sparty will face its greatest test of the season next weekend at Kinnick Stadium.

 

4.    The Road to Pasadena Runs Still Through Iowa City

Even though the Hawkeyes lost this afternoon, the Big Ten champion is going to have to win a game in Iowa City.  It is likely that the five games featuring Michigan State, Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa will be the key factor in deciding the Big Ten representative in the Rose Bowl.  Of those five games, three are going to be held in Iowa City.  The Hawkeyes can cause complete chaos by beating Sparty next Saturday and forcing a five-way tie at the top of the conference (the aforementioned teams along with Purdue) that will take at least a month to sort out.  However, an MSU win should lock up the conference title for the Spartans.  Things could get REALLY interesting in the Big Ten next Saturday.

 

5.    Ohio State, Arkansas Rebound at Home

Last weekend, both Ohio State and Arkansas suffered disappointing losses on the road in front of a national television audience.  This weekend, they returned home looking to take their frustrations out on inferior conference foes.  Homecoming combined last week’s loss in Madison and revenge for last year’s game in West Lafayette led to a very motivated Buckeye team.  Ohio State racked up 400+ first half yards on their way to a 42-0 halftime lead.  Joe Bauserman and the second team added a second half touchdown and the defense held on for a 49-0 shutout, the first of the season for the Buckeye defense.  With only one conference loss on their record, the Buckeyes are still very much in contention for a Big Ten title and BSC Bowl bid.  It will take a lot of luck for them to get to Glendale for the title game, but stranger things have happened.

Arkansas’s loss at Auburn moved them to 1-2 in the SEC, leaving them tied for last in the SEC west.  The Hogs benefited from two weather delays to hold on and defeat former head coach Houston Nutt and Ole Miss 38-24.  The Razorbacks jumped out to an early lead, but watched as Mississippi chipped away at their advantage.  The Black Bears…err Rebels scored just inside the 10-minute mark to cut the Razorback lead to 31-24.  Play was stopped for weather for a second time following the Mississippi touchdown.  With Ryan Mallet sidelined after showing more concussion symptoms, Tyler Wilson led a Razorback touchdown drive after the weather delay.  An Ole Miss fumble on the goal line sealed the Arkansas win.

 

6.    South Carolina Back in SEC East Driver’s Seat

The South Carolina Gamecocks won their showdown in Nashville to take sole possession of first place in the SEC East (3-2 in conference).  However, three teams still have a realistic chance.  South Carolina has two losable games left on their conference schedule (home vs. Arkansas and at Florida).  The Florida Gators (coming off a bye and sitting on a three-game losing streak) still control their own destiny.  They host South Carolina in three weeks in what will likely be a winner-take-all match up.  Georgia (who started 0-3 in conference) has a tough road to go.  They must defeat Florida and Auburn then get some help.  To win the conference, South Carolina will have to lose two of their final three.  Even Kentucky and Vanderbilt still have outside chances, but will need more help than is reasonable to believe they can get.

 

7.    Big East Leaders Fall at Home

The preseason favorites to win the Big East Championship, Cincinnati and West Virginia both fell at home this weekend.  The Bearcats lost Friday night to a South Florida team that found it necessary to bring sideline heaters so they could withstand the “frigid” Southern Ohio weather.  The Mountaineers allowed a far less talented Syracuse team to push them around all game.  This was their first loss in Morgantown since 2008 and their first loss to the Orange sine 2001.

The losses by Cincy and WVU made the Pitt/Rutgers game a showdown for sole possession of first place in the Big East.  The Panthers manhandled Rutgers at home a week after thumping Syracuse in the Carrier Dome last Saturday. The Panthers are in the drivers seat and appear to be the class of the Big East by a long shot.  However, given their 4-3 record and the volatility of the Big East, I wouldn’t expect that to remain the case all season.

 

8.    The Giant Killers from Ames Strike Again

Last season, Paul Rhoads took his Iowa State Cyclones to Lincoln and upset the Nebraska Cornhuskers.  The Texas Longhorns became ISU’s most recent victim.  Coming off of their upset win over Nebraska, the ‘Horns were perfectly set up for a let down against a Cyclone team that has looked less than impressive in blowout losses to Utah and Oklahoma.  Iowa State came to Austin, pushed Texas around for 60 minutes, and walked out with their first ever victory over the Longhorns.  There is still a long way for the ISU program to go, but this is the most promise they’ve shown since they had Seneca Wallace under center.

 

9.    Navy knocks off the Irish Again

Four years ago, I sat in the stands in South Bend after Navy beat Notre Dame in overtime for their first win over the Irish in 40+ years.  All you could hear in the stadium were several hundred Middies celebrating.  Everyone else was in stunned silence.  It’s still hard to believe that Navy victories in this series are no longer shocking.  The USNA has won two in a row and three of their last four against the Irish.  ND now sits and 4-4 and bowl eligibility is not a given.  After cupcake Tulsa next week, the Irish have a bye week before hosting current top-10 Utah, returning to New York to face a much improved Army team, and finishing the season in Los Angeles against a USC team with a chip on its shoulder.

 

10.    Oregon Wins Big, Set up Showdown Next Weekend in LA

Oregon received USC’s message from last week and responded in kind.  The Ducks scored on all but two of their possessions and blew out UCLA 60-13 to move to 7-0.  This marked the third time this season that the Oregon offense has crossed the 60-point threshold.  They head to the Coliseum next Saturday to face a Trojan team coming off their bye.  With two weeks to prepare and legendary defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin on their sideline, USC provides the toughest challenge to Chip Kelly’s offense so far this season.  Matt Barkley and the Trojan offense should be able to put up some points against the porous Oregon defense as well.

 

My Top Ten (Last Week)

1.    Oregon (2)

2.    Auburn (3)

3.    Boise State (4)

4.    TCU (5)

5.    Michigan State (9)

6.    Alabama (7)

7.    Missouri (NR)

8.    Utah (8)

9.    Wisconsin (NR)

10.    Stanford (10)

The Next Five: Ohio State, Oklahoma (1), LSU (6), Nebraska, Arizona


 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com